Painless Change, More Money (Yet Another One)

 

Abandon all hope, ye who enter here

Control Your Cash Trivia Time!

Which will lubelessly rape your wallet the fastest while leaving the deepest scars?

  1. Incurring credit card debt
  2. Having children
  3. Going to a car dealer for repairs and parts

The answer is 2, of course, but that doesn’t make for as interesting a blog post as if we assume the answer is 3.

What turns most people off about personal finance is that so much of it is about economization. Go without, deny yourself one of life’s immediate pleasures, and maybe in the future you can enjoy a slightly greater pleasure. No wonder so many people just give up and decide to indulge themselves immediately.

But this is different. Here at Control Your Cash we consistently urge you to make painless choices that you won’t even notice after you’ve spent the initial few seconds making them.

Like the idiots we see waiting in the drive-through lane at Starbucks every morning. Yes, the “latte factor” has been analyzed to death already, but it’s still valid. These people not only pay 2000% markup for the privilege of patronizing Starbucks, they wait in line longer than it would take for them to brew their own coffee. So they’re not even purchasing convenience, however much that’s worth. They’re wasting money simply out of habit.

Log into your car insurance account, and your health insurance account while you’re at it, and check your limits. You’re probably overcovered, and throwing money away each month unnecessarily. Once you reduce your limits, you won’t be suffering through the privation of having reduced coverage. You’ll be saving more money, again with minimal effort, and all for a few minutes’ work. We’re not talking about forgoing that Fijian vacation you’ve been working towards and desperately wanting for so long. We’re talking about doing practically nothing and getting more money out of it. All because you were a tiny bit more cognizant and aware of your surroundings than you were before.

Which brings us to our multiple-choice quiz answer. Why do car owners go to the dealer for service? Because they don’t know any better, and because it’s convenient. Also, if you bought your car new, the dealership almost certainly offered you a free oil change and tire rotation or two when you closed the deal. Sometimes, depending on how naïve you look, they’ll go so far as to insult you by offering services that even Baker from Man vs. Debt could perform on his own. Like replacing windshield wipers, for instance, as if that’s something that anyone with opposable thumbs couldn’t do.

Merchants have been offering “free” goods and services for millennia, and still people get suckered in. It’s not that the merchants are necessarily cheating you, but rather that you need to take into account what they’re selling you beyond the free stuff. Free socks with that new pair of sneakers? Maybe, just maybe, and you’re not going to believe this, Foot Locker factors in the (minimal, to them) price of the socks and still makes a tidy profit off you when you buy that pair of Reebok RealFlex CrossFit Nanos.

Even without the free oil changes, the dealer relies on your presumed comfort level to make you a lifetime customer. The friendly man who sold you the car? There are even friendlier men working at the dealership as service advisors!

Of course they’re friendly, you’re responsible for financing their fishing boats and summer cabins.

We’ve discussed it on this site before, and elsewhere, ad nauseam. Like the time we priced a job that included replacing both sets of front brake pads and the calipers, cleaning the rotors and bleeding the lines. The dealer quoted $871.45. Oops, left my credit card at home. It’s the darnedest thing. How about I bring my car back this afternoon?

The shop down the street offered to do the same job for $398.34.

Only with rare exceptions should you take your car to the dealer. For warranty work, obviously, but beyond that the reasons you should let the dealer touch your car are selected and rare. Resetting the factory satellite radio unit, for instance.

Even the most meaninglessly inconsequential items are cheaper just about anywhere other than your dealer’s service department. Case in point, Motorcraft Part 15K601:

Price on FordOwner.com, $55.71

Price on Amazon: $7.50.


Damn, those internet retailers really are killing Main Street. We didn’t even think about visiting the neighborhood mom-and-pop key fob store.

Once more, repeat after us:

Poor people are poor largely because they choose to be.

It was only a few years ago that “comparison shopping” meant driving across town and burning a day or two to find the best deal. Today, that’s not an issue. While reading this post, there’s nothing to stop you from opening a couple more tabs and finding meaningful savings on your next purchase of whatever. The money you save, you can buy assets with. This is how you get rich. There really isn’t much more to it.

This article is featured in:

**The Carnival of Personal Finance 364: The Art of PF Blogging Edition**

Our Financial Uproar Stock Picks

See cube, eat cube

 

One of the few personal finance bloggers who remains on speaking terms with us is Nelson Smith at Financial Uproar, who’s hosting a stock-picking contest. We were told to submit 4 stocks by December 30. We’ll regroup 359 days from now, assuming we can stave off nuclear war with Iran, and see who gained the most.

We had to pick stocks, as opposed to other investments, otherwise we’d have loaded up on “Mitt Romney will be elected” futures at InTrade. They currently pay 8-to-5.

Of course, entering a stock-picking contest is different than investing. As any poker player knows, the game changes drastically when there’s real money on the line. So knowing that finishing dead last will hurt nothing more than our egos, we were fairly aggressive. With a couple of caveats:

1. We’re not going to win this thing. 

Seriously, we won’t. Not that we don’t believe in ourselves, but intelligence and discretion will only take us so far here. Luck is a huge variable, both as a noun and an adjective. Again, if we could buy futures as part of this contest, we’d look long and hard at buying one called “The winner will have chosen 4 penny mining stocks on the TSX Venture Exchange”. 

But that depends on how many entrants Nelson gets. (12, including himself.) The more entrants, the greater the chance of luck being the biggest determining factor (and rendering our research worthless.) If the objective is to make money, then you don’t have to win this contest to win, if you catch our drift.

2. We’re not looking for long-term investments. We’re not even necessarily looking for stocks that we think will instantly skyrocket. The window is specific: 1 year. A stock whose acceleration will top out in 2 months, or 24 months, won’t do us much good. Heck, if we can get a 25% return out of this contest, we’ll consider ourselves winners. Nelson probably won’t, but we will.

That’s enough qualifying, don’t you think? On with our picks. Our strategy is the same as it is in our real lives: look for temporarily wounded value. A stock with good fundamentals but bad (in the short run) publicity is ideal. A low price-earnings ratio, and either negative or non-existent headlines.

NETFLIX

This fits our criteria almost perfectly. The company took a public relations hit this past summer when it told customers they were going to have to suffer through the barbaric ordeal of having to hold separate accounts for renting DVDs and for streaming videos online. Customers swore they’d never return, and a movement took hold.

We don’t patronize Netflix, never have and never will, but couldn’t understand why customers decried a company that seems to offer selection, speed, and value.

The stock traded at $304.79 in July and is now at $79.30. Cash flow is positive, and profit increases by 50% or so annually. That can’t last forever, but all the indicators are good. Netflix is one of those companies that does better the less it charges. In its early days, memberships cost 4 times what they do today. A company that succeeds on both high markups and low markups will get our attention every time, especially when it’s the undisputed market leader.

FORD

A strikingly low price/earnings ratio, barely over 6. A stock price at an 18-month nadir. And an implicit guarantee that the taxpayers will be there with billions to prop up the company if necessary. Which it won’t be, but investors like to keep these things in mind.

The industry itself is as close to a staple as we have in this society. Ford’s competitors remain in even worse shape than it.

Ford’s worst days are behind it. Yes, its liabilities are greater than its assets, but the numbers are going in the right direction. And the company is profitable. There’s no way we’d invest in Ford until its financials improve a little more, but to enter a stock-picking contest with no downside? Sure.

(NOTE: Not to hedge our bets, but the two of us had to flip a coin on this one. Ford vs. Toyota. If it turns out that a Toyota pick would have ended up winning the contest for us, blood will be shed.)

SEACUBE

This is one of those under-the-radar companies that you never heard of until 2 seconds ago, yet that impacts your life greatly. As the name implies, and as its NYSE ticker symbol (BOX) reinforces, SeaCube deals in shipping containers. The company is on every continent, and just about every freighter.

SeaCube doesn’t even make the containers. It only buys and leases them. Revenue is stable, with a couple of anomalous items distorting the 2009 numbers. Profit margins are enormous, 22%. The company paid out a dividend last month, with a dividend yield of 6.3%.

What gets us excited is its price/earnings ratio, currently under 8. Its peers average thrice that. Because a container lessor can’t expect gigantic growth year-over-year, the only remaining legitimate reason for SeaCube’s low P/E is simply that it’s undervalued. The price is low with regard to sales, with regard to book value…

So why isn’t it more expensive? It’s carrying a lot of debt, although that debt is relatively stable year-to-year. This is one we might buy in the real world, too.

TOYOTA

Alright, fine. We were going to go with GlaxoSmithKline but it’s trading at 40-something times earnings and pharmaceutical companies (or more specifically, reaction to and regulation of them) can be fickle.

Instead, the car manufacturer whose 2011 was as bad as anyone else’s in Japan. The Tōhoku earthquake and resultant tsunami didn’t just kill 20,000 people, they did a number on every manufacturer in the country. No hydroelectric and nuclear power meant no way to build cars, and a damaged seaport meant nowhere to send and receive shipments. Toyota’s sales numbers suffered, and the stock price tumbled accordingly. A positive, at least as far as stock-picking contests go.

Besides, Toyota already knows all about singular events hampering its stock price. In 2009 a series of Lexus owners testified on Capitol Hill that their vehicles were accelerating suddenly and without apparent impetus. What made that unusual was that it’s usually politicians lying through their teeth in D.C., not private citizens. The claims were unfounded: to keep it brief, these imbeciles all confused the brake pedal with the gas. Toyota stock sank to the point where the CEO flew over from Aichi headquarters to control the damage. The stock rebounded and then some, and Toyota maintained its healthy habits of keeping debt under control and buying back treasury stock. Which it continues to do today.

So those are our picks. We’ll keep you updated daily on what they’re doing.

No, of course we won’t. You shouldn’t look at your investments daily, either. We’ll check back on ours quarterly: enough time to see legitimate growth (or shrinkage) develop, without keeping us daily enslaved to a series of numbers beyond our control.

**This article is featured in the Baby Boomers Blog Carnival One Hundred Twenty-sixth Edition**